Utsho i-abdullah

Uqoqosho lweVietnam luyi-44 lenzulwini yehlabathi kwaye ukusukela kwiminyaka yoo-1980s iVietnam yenze inguqu enkulu yoqoqosho oluphakanyelwe kakhulu ngenkxaso kuqoqosho olusekwe kwintengiso.

Akumangalisi ukuba, yenye yezona zinto zikhula ngokukhawuleza kwehlabathi, kunye nenqanaba lokukhula kwe-GDP yonyaka kwi-5.1%, eya kwenza uqoqosho lwayo i-20 enkulu emhlabeni ngama-2050.

Ukutsho ukuba, igama elithi le nto emhlabeni yile iVietnam ilungele ukuba yenye yezona hub ezinkulu zemveliso ezinokubakho kwi-china kunye neminyhadala yayo enkulu yezoqoqosho.

Ngokukodwa, iVietnam inyuka njengendawo yokuthengisa kwingingqi, ikakhulu kumacandelo afana nengubo yengubo kunye nelindle lezindlu zempahla.

Kwelinye icala, kuba i-'0s China ibidlala indima ye-hub yemveliso yehlabathi kunye nezinto zayo ezinkulu eziphezulu, amandla omzini. Uphuhliso lwemizi-mveliso lunikwe ingqalelo enkulu apho ukwakhiwa koomatshini kunye nemizi mveliso yentsimbi ifumene eyona nto iphambili.

Ngobudlelwane phakathi kweWashington kunye neBeijing kwi-Freamf, ikamva leexhwitshi zoncedo lwehlabathi luyinto. Nokuba imiyalezo engalindelekanga emhlophe iyaqhubeka iphakamisa imibuzo malunga nolwalathiso lomgaqo-nkqubo wezorhwebo lwaseMelika, amaxabiso orhwebo ahlala aqhubeka.

Okwangoku, ukuvela kwe-Fallout ukusuka kwi-Beijing yomthetho wezokhuseleko kuZwelonke, okusongela ukumangalisa kuka-Hong Kong, ngaphezulu kweSigaba seSigaba se-Fragile Supeners esinye. Ukungakhankanya iindleko zomsebenzi zokunyuka kuthetha ukuba i-china ilandele ishishini elincinci lokuphela komsebenzi.

Oku krokrakra, kubhalelwe ugqatso ukukhusela iimpahla zonyango kwaye kuphuhliswe isitofu se-Covid-19, kuvuselela uvavanyo nje lokufumana amanye amakhonkco anelungelo lokufumana ilungelo eliphezulu.

Ngaxeshanye, iCovid-19 iphatha i-china inike imibuzo emininzi phakathi kwamagunya aseNtshona. Ngelixa, iVietnam yenye yezona zizwe ziphambili zokukhulula amanyathelo axhobileyo kwaye ivule uluntu lwayo kwangoko, kwaye apho uninzi lwamazwe kuphela luqala ukujamelana nobunzima kunye nokusasazwa kweCovide-19.

Umhlaba wothuka yimpumelelo yeVietnam ngeli xesha le-Covidd-19 ubhubhane.

Ithemba likaVietnam njenge-hub yemveliso

Ngokuchasene nale meko yehlabathi jikelele, uqoqosho lwase-Asiya - iVietnam - ikhulisa ukuba ibe yindawo yendlu yombane olandelayo.

I-Vietnam ifakwe emzimbeni njengomphumo onamandla wokuqonda isabelo esikhulu kwi-post-Counid-19 yehlabathi.

Ngokutsho kwe-Kearney i-Indering i-US, ehambelana nemveliso yemveliso ye-US kuqulunqwa kwi-14 yamazwe ase-Asiya, ekhutshelwe irekhodi eliphezulu ngo-17% wehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla kwi-17% yokwehla ngaphakathi ngaphakathi kwi-chines yokungenisa i-17.

I-American Chamber of Commerce eMzantsi China ikwafumanisa ukuba iipesenti ezingama-64 zenkampani zase-US emazantsi eli lizwe zazicinga ngemveliso yokuhambisa, ngokwengxelo ephakathi.

Uqoqosho lwaseVietnam olukhule nge-8% ngo-2019, lungenwe lunyuke lwe-sundo. Ikwalingane nokukhula nge-1.5% kulo nyaka.

Uqikelelo lweBhanki yeHlabathi kwimo elininzi le-Padd-19 imeko ye-GDP yeVietnam iya kuhla ukuya kwi-1.5% kwi-1.5% kulo nyaka, engcono kuninzi lwabamelwane bayo base-Asia.

Ngaphandle koko, ngendibaniselwano yomsebenzi onzima, ukubeka uphawu lwelizwe, kunye nokudala iimeko ezikhoyo zotyalo-mali, iVietnam inomdla kwiinkampani zorhwebo zasimahla zeAsean kunye ne-Europer Eunia kunye ne-EUSA.

Ungakhawulezi, kumaxesha akutshanje ilizwe lenze imveliso yezixhobo zonyango kwaye yenza iminikelo enxulumene namazwe ali-19, kunye ne-USA, iRussia, e-Itali, eJamani, nase-UK.

Olunye uphuhliso olutsha olubalulekileyo kukubakho kweenkampani ezininzi zenkampani zase-US zifudukele kwi-china ukuya eVietnam. Kwaye isahlulo seVietnam sempahla yokungenisa i-US ingene kwinxalenye ye-China kwimarike iyadlula - ilizwe lingaphezulu kwe-China kwaye libekwe kwi-US ngo-Matshi nango-Epreli kulo nyaka.

Idatha yorhwebo lwentengiso yase-US ye-US ka-2019 ibonisa le meko, i-Vietnam iyonke e-USA inyuke nge-35%, okanye i- $ 17.5 yezigidigidi.

Kule minyaka ingamashumi amabini idlulileyo, ilizwe liguqule kakhulu ukuba liphelise uluhlu olubanzi lwamashishini. I-Vietnam ibiguquka kude kuqoqosho lwezolimo kakhulu ukuphuhlisa uqoqosho olusekwe kwintengiso olusekwe kwintengiso kunye nezamashishini.

Ibhotile ye-Bottleneck eyoyisile

Kodwa zininzi iibhotile eziza kujongwana nayo ukuba ilizwe lifuna ukugcoba neChina.

Umzekelo, ubume bukaVietnam boMveliso weMveliso esekwe kwixabiso eliphantsi ibeka isoyikiso - ukuba ilizwe alihambi kwikhonkco lexabiso, amanye amazwe kwingingqi efana neBangladesh, i-Thailand okanye iCambodia ikwabonelela abasebenzi ngexabiso eliphantsi.

Ukongeza, kunye neenzame zikarhulumente zeyona mizamo yokuzisa utyalomali ngakumbi kwimveliso ye-hi-trate kunye nezixhobo zokuhambisa i-chain yonikezo lwehlabathi, i-MNCS kuphela (i-R & d) inophando eVietnam.

ICovid-19 uBendemitic ikwaveze ukuba iVietnam ixhomekeke kakhulu kwizinto ezingenazixhobo zohlaza kwaye idlala indima yeemveliso zokuthengisa kunye nokudibanisa iimveliso zokuthumela ngaphandle. Ngaphandle kweShishini leNkxaso-mali engaphaya eNxibelelayo, iya kuba liphupha elinesidima ukuze lifumane olu bukhulu lwemveliso njenge china.

Ngaphandle kwezi, ezinye iingxaki zibandakanya ubungakanani bechibi lezabasebenzi, ukufikeleleka kwabasebenzi abanobuchule, amandla okuphatha ngokuthulula ngequbuliso kwimfuno yemveliso, kwaye okuninzi.

Elinye i-subnaunt ye-paramount ngamashishini amancinci amancinci, amancinci naphakathi aphakathi (i-MSME) - equka i-93.7% yeshishini elipheleleyo- zithintelwe kwiimarike ezincinci kakhulu kwaye azikwazi ukwandisa imisebenzi yabaphulaphuli. Ukwenzela ukuba kutyibilike kakhulu kwi-Choke kumaxesha engxaki, kanye njengokuba neCovid-19 ubhubhane.

Ke ngoko, kubalulekile ukuba amashishini athathe inyathelo elingasemva kwaye aqwalasele isicwangciso-qhinga sabo sokugcina indawo yokubamba i-China, ngaba kuya kuba sengqiqweni kakhulu i-china-plust endaweni yoko?